Serial interval

Serial interval

In epidemiology of communicable (infectious) diseases, the serial interval refers to the time between successive cases in a chain of transmission(1).

The serial interval is generally estimated from the interval between clinical onsets, in which case it is the 'clinical onset serial interval' when these quantities are observable(2). It could, in principle, be estimated by the time interval between infection and subsequent transmission.

If it is assumed that infections occur at random during the infectious period, then the average serial interval is the sum of the average latent period (from infection to infectiousness) and half the average infectious period.

Serial intervals can vary widely, and may be lifelong for some diseases (HIV infection, Chickenpox, Herpes). The serial interval for SARs was 7 days [http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/300/5627/1966 Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome]

Related but distinct quantities include : the 'average transmission interval' sum of average latent and infectious period; the 'incubation period' between infection and disease onset; the 'latent period' between infection and infectiousness.

References

(1) Last JM. A dictionary of epidemiology. Oxford University Press, 2001.(2) Fine PEM, Am J Epidemiol 2003; 158(11):1039-1047. (http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/158/11/1039)


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